Live Football Betting Rate

 

If you frequently bet NFL spreads each weekend, it goes without saying that turning a profit can be a challenge. When the typical bets aren’t paying off, getting creative can be a solution for boosting your bankroll.

Online Live Betting

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Live betting, if you aren’t familiar with the concept, involves placing bets while the game is in progress. Odds change on a minute-to-minute basis, and you can use the information you’ve gained from watching the game to make your decisions.

Live bets include the more traditional betting forms (spread, moneyline) but can also extend to all the prop bets offered prior to the game as well.

A major benefit of live betting is that value presents itself multiple times throughout the course of a game. The key to be successful is identifying when risk is justified.

In this article, I’ll lay out tips for live betting on the NFL that can you can utilize next time you sit down and watch a game.

1 – Watch the Game

This should go without saying, but when you live bet a game, it’s imperative that you’re plugged into the action from the opening kickoff.

If you don’t have the time to watch the game, it’s best to place your bet pre-game, and let the chips fall where they may.

Lines

Each game has trends that go well beyond the numbers.

A defensive or special teams touchdown might change the score, but isn’t a true indication if one team is outplaying another.
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Additionally, it’s hard to recognize when a team is ready to mount a comeback if you aren’t watching how the game has played out up to that point.

Follow the action all the way through and you’ll be able to spot the high-value opportunities in the live betting offerings.

2 – Use Multiple Sportsbooks

Using multiple online sportsbooks should be standard protocol, but if you’re live betting it becomes especially important. Whereas pre-game lines don’t vary significantly between books, live betting is a different story.

Because odds are updated so frequently, consistency across different betting sites isn’t always present in the same way that it is before the game.

Another reason that it’s important to use different books is because of the different bet offerings.

Whether you’re looking to live bet on individual players’ stats, or specific game occurrences such as a defensive touchdown, each betting site will more than likely have different options for you to choose from.

William hill live football betting

If you’re feeling like it’s too much work to rotate through multiple sites at once, choose a different one for each game and decide which one you like using the most.

3 – Spot the Comeback Value

Live betting lines

Each week, there are a handful of favorites that get down early, but inevitably come back to win. This can be a great opportunity for bettors to get the favorite at a much better price than the one available before the start of the game.

It might be true that scoring first is important, but it’s not a rare occurrence for bad teams to get out ahead in the early going and then eventually get beat. This scenario is a goldmine for bettors focused on finding the best value for a low-risk play.

If the Patriots are a -240 moneyline favorite over the Browns and Cleveland jumps out ahead 7-0 after the first drive of the game, you could get the Patriots moneyline at -150, which is obviously a much better value.

Even when you factor in the increased risk of betting on a team who’s already losing, the likelihood of the better team making a comeback makes the play worth it.

Next time you’re watching games, try to find the game where a favorite gets down early, and enjoy the value of betting on a comeback.

4 – Determine a Strategy

NFL team needs to have a strategy on the field, and live bettors also need to formulate a gameplan before kickoff.

A good place to start is determining which bets you’ll focus on throughout the course of the game. The most common options would be the spread, who will win outright (moneyline), or the total (over/under). When you attempt to focus on multiple aspects of the game, it’s hard to watch the game through the lens you need to identify the giveaways that help you gain an advantage.

You probably already do it when you’re watching a game you bet on, but this time you can really put your thought process of “I need a field goal, then a stop, then a touchdown,” to work. While there’s no way to predict how a game will play out, you can bet on scenarios playing out based on what you’ve already seen in the game.

In my opinion, sticking to moneyline bets in close games is the best strategy for live betting.

Although most individuals who live bet prefer to place multiple bets throughout the course of a game, I think the best way to turn live betting into a profitable move is to wait until the perfect moment then bet on the team who will eventually win the game.

It’s important to note that there won’t be a ‘good value’ situation in every game. These scenarios present themselves when a moneyline favorite’s odds inevitably decrease at some point in the game.

Remember, it’s crucial to be following the odds at all times.

Significant changes can happen after each play, so if you want to maximize your risk vs. reward proposition, you need to be on top of things.

5 – Don’t Chase

Live Football Betting Rate

You’ve probably heard the advice stating that it’s a bad idea to try to chase your losses with bigger bets in hopes of getting your money back. This is especially true with live betting, and is much more tempting when you’re watching the game play out.

If you’re betting a game and took the favorite, but the underdog gets out ahead early, do your best to resist the temptation of switching sides. Live betting is a strategy in and of itself, and it shouldn’t be used as a way to make up for a losing bet you placed pre-game.

You might be able to win a few live bets that pay for your lost pre-game bet, but chances are you’ll end up losing more money in the long run if you can’t accept a loss.

It’s not easy to accept losing a bet when you feel like you can do something about it. However, risking it all on a “sure bet” to cover a small loss simply isn’t worth it.

6 – Know a Team’s Best Quarter

It’s often said that teams with a head coaching advantage perform better after halftime.

When an elite coaching staff has the opportunity to make adjustments based on how the game is playing out, it’s hard to go against them.

Prior to a game you know you’re going to live bet at a NFL sportsbook, do some research and see if you can determine whether or not a team has a specific quarterly when they typically score more than other quarters.

  • For some teams, the initial script of plays in the first quarter is the strongest the offense will be all day.
  • For others, the halftime adjustments put the offense at an advantage and the third quarter is when they make a run.

It goes without saying that the situation specific to the game is the most important factor, but if you can find a team that traditionally performs much better in one quarter over another, don’t ignore that information.

William Hill Live Football Betting

Conclusion

Live betting can be one of the most exciting ways to gamble on sports. With that being said, it can also be the most risky when it comes to big losses.

Live Football Betting Rates

In all cases, do your research beforehand and trust the trends to work in your favor.